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Financial Markets 09/12 15:39
NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street coasted to the finish of its best week in the
last five on Friday as U.S. stocks hung near their record levels.
The S&P 500 barely budged and edged down by less than 0.1% from the all-time
high it set the day before. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 273 points,
or 0.6%, while the Nasdaq composite added 0.4% to its own record set on
Thursday.
Stocks have rallied with expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut its
main interest rate for the first time this year at its meeting next week. Such
a move would give the economy a kickstart, and mortgage rates have already
dropped in anticipation of it.
Expectations for a cut have built as recent reports suggested the U.S. job
market could settle into the precise balance that Wall Street has been betting
on: slow enough to convince the Fed that it needs help, but not so weak that it
will mean a recession, all while inflation doesn't take off.
A lot is riding on whether that bet proves correct. Stocks have already
soared on it. And if the Fed ends up cutting interest rates fewer times than
traders expect, including three this year, the market could retreat in
disappointment. That's even if everything else goes right, and the economy does
not fall into a recession and President Donald Trump's tariffs don't send
inflation much higher.
Investors, "and I think the Fed, are convinced that we are not on the verge
of a surge in inflation," according to Scott Wren, senior global market
strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
A survey from the University of Michigan on Friday suggested expectations
for inflation may not be worsening among U.S. consumers. Preliminary data
suggested they're bracing for inflation of 4.8% in the upcoming year, the same
as they were a month earlier.
Expectations for inflation over the longer term crept higher, though they're
still below where they were in April, when Trump announced his worldwide
tariffs.
In the meantime, Wall Street continued to drift around its record heights.
RH fell 4.6% after the furniture retailer reported profit and revenue for
the latest quarter that came up short of analysts' expectations. It also
trimmed its forecasted range for revenue this fiscal year amid what CEO Gary
Friedman called "the polarizing impact of tariff uncertainty and the worst
housing market in almost 50 years."
Oracle sank 5.1% and was the single heaviest weight on the S&P 500 index.
But that shaved only a bit off its surge from earlier in the week, when it
soared to its best day since 1992 amid excitement about its winning
multibillion dollar contracts related to artificial-intelligence technology.
Another company that's benefited from the AI frenzy, Super Micro Computer,
rose 2.4% after saying it's begun high-volume shipments of racks using
Blackwell Ultra equipment from Nvidia that can be used for AI.
Microsoft climbed 1.8% after European Union regulators accepted the tech
giant's proposed changes to its Teams platform, resolving a long-running
antitrust investigation.
The European Commission said Friday that Microsoft's final commitments to
unbundle Teams from its Office software suite, including further tweaks
following a market test in May and June, are enough to satisfy competition
concerns.
All told, the S&P 500 slipped 3.18 points to 6,584.29. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average fell 273.78 to 45,834.22, and the Nasdaq composite rose
98.03 to 22,141.10.
In stock markets abroad, indexes held relatively steady in Europe after
mostly rising in Asia.
Japan's Nikkei 225 climbed 0.9% to another record, while Hong Kong's Hang
Seng rallied 1.2% for two of the bigger moves.
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury climbed to recover
some of its drop from earlier in the week. It rose to 4.06% from 4.01% late
Thursday.
Yields have been mostly sinking as expectations built on Wall Street that
the Fed will resume cutting rates soon.
The Fed has been on hold through 2025, mostly because of the risk that
Trump's tariffs could send prices for all kinds of U.S. household purchases
much higher. Lower interest rates can make inflation even worse.
That inaction, though, has infuriated Trump. He has threatened to fire Fed
Chair Jerome Powell, whom he has nicknamed "Too Late," and has escalated his
attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, accusing her of mortgage
fraud.
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AP Writers Teresa Cerojano and Matt Ott contributed.
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